Welcome readers! Here is the Weekly Market News covering Monday 28 February – Friday 4 March for pricing data coffee futures.

Summary

  • Coffee markets drop on disruption in supply chain and soaring oil prices
  • Dollar ends higher on Ukraine-Russia uncertainty as it capitalises on safe-haven flows

Arabica Futures Chart (NY)

The Arabica Coffee C contract opened down at 234.85 c/lb, before failing to find support at 236.00 c/lb by mid-week. The market then encountered considerable selling pressure to close the week on a softer 223.05 c/lb.

Robusta Futures Chart (Lon)

Robusta opened the week on a softer note at 2150 $/MT, which then precipitated strong losses to reach as low as 1990 $/MT, which were levels not seen since August 2021. The market then trader firmer on Friday, finding support at 2014 $/MT.

Analysis

International market volatility is still being driven by geopolitical turmoil this week. The US Federal Reserve has stated that it intends to raise interest rates, albeit current global economic uncertainties may cause a little delay in doing so, this is bullish for the USD as it means the currency remains in a dominant position over GBP and EUR. The week ended with the US Dollar trading at £1.335 Sterling, at 1.104 Euro and 5.032 Brazil Real. Coupled with the uncertainty in the supply chain and higher oil prices has meant coffee markets have ended the week on a much softer note.

You can read more about this week’s fundamentals moving the market in our weekly Coffee Origin Weekly Digest here.

Published March 6, 2022
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